SKRA Częstochowa vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Warta Gorzów?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Warta Gorzów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 5-0 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-3 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Warta Gorzów?
- The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Warta Gorzów.
- Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Warta Gorzów played?
- SKRA Częstochowa vs Warta Gorzów is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Stal BrzegvsBarycz Sułów
- May 1, 2027Stilon GorzówvsGórnik Polkowice
- May 1, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- May 1, 2027KluczborkvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- May 1, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsROW Rybnik
- May 1, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsCarina Gubin
- May 1, 2027Sparta KatowicevsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- May 1, 2027SłowianinvsMiedź Legnica II