Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 30Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Słowianin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Słowianin (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Słowianin have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Warta Gorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Słowianin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 1-2 Słowianin | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Słowianin 2-2 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Słowianin score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Słowianin | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Słowianin.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin played?
- Warta Gorzów vs Słowianin is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Zaglebie SosnowiecvsZagłębie Lubin II
- May 8, 2027ROW RybnikvsSparta Katowice
- May 8, 2027Górnik PolkowicevsStal Brzeg
- May 8, 2027Miedź Legnica IIvsKluczbork
- May 8, 2027Carina GubinvsŚlęza Wrocław
- May 8, 2027Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSKRA Częstochowa
- May 8, 2027Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStilon Gorzów
- May 8, 2027Barycz SułówvsGoczałkowice Zdrój