Stilon Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice?
Górnik Polkowice starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stilon Gorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Górnik Polkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice 3-2 Stilon Gorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Stilon Gorzów 1-2 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Górnik Polkowice 0-0 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 26, 2024 | Stilon Gorzów 3-4 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Górnik Polkowice 1-2 Stilon Gorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Górnik Polkowice 3-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Górnik Polkowice sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Górnik Polkowice.
- Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice played?
- Stilon Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027SKRA CzęstochowavsWarta Gorzów
- May 1, 2027Stal BrzegvsBarycz Sułów
- May 1, 2027Zagłębie Lubin IIvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- May 1, 2027KluczborkvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- May 1, 2027Ślęza WrocławvsROW Rybnik
- May 1, 2027Goczałkowice ZdrójvsCarina Gubin
- May 1, 2027Sparta KatowicevsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- May 1, 2027SłowianinvsMiedź Legnica II