Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?

Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice

Sparta Katowice

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Sparta Katowice (1,832) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743).

Sparta Katowice win55 %

Draw24 %

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Katowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Stilon Gorzów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 3

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Barycz Sułów(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Carina Gubin(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	ROW Rybnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sparta Katowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Sparta Katowice 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 27, 2025	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-0 Sparta Katowice	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sparta Katowice	1.9	0.9	6	8/15	9/15
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1.7	1.4	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Sparta Katowice	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
8	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	5	2	2	1	6	3	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?: The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?: Sparta Katowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.