Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava
The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Slovan Bratislava. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shakhtar Donetsk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (2,210 vs 2,000).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Slovan Bratislava
4-1-4-1- 10N. Marcelli
- 3P. Pokorný
- 11T. Barseghyan
- 8A. Gajdoš
- 21Suleiman Camara
- 5R. Ibrahim
- 12K. Bajrič
- 57Sandro Cruz
- 15S. Marković
- 28C. Blackman
- 71D. Takáč
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1- 9Kauã Elias
- 6Marlon Gomes
- 30Alisson Santana
- 27O. Ocheretko
- 77G. Mendoza
- 29E. Nazaryna
- 22M. Matvienko
- 13Pedrinho
- 17Vinícius Tobias
- 5V. Bondar
- 31D. Riznyk
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovan Bratislava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Shakhtar Donetsk have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spartak Trnava(away) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Slovan Bratislava score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Bratislava | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovan Bratislava sit 36th in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 3 matches) and Shakhtar Donetsk sit 17th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Slovan Bratislava.
- Where and when is Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
- Slovan Bratislava vs Shakhtar Donetsk is played on December 9, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Štadión Tehelné pole, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.