Smiltene vs BFC Daugavpils: result 1-0 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on May 7, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tepera stadions, Smiltene
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What was the result of Smiltene vs BFC Daugavpils?
Smiltene won 1-0 on May 7, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smiltene have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; BFC Daugavpils have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2017 | Auda(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 22, 2017 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 1-6 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Grobiņa(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Saldus / Brocēnu(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2017 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Jēkabpils(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Staiceles Bebri(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 5, 2016 | FK Liepaja(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Jelgava(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Smiltene score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Daugavpils score 0.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smiltene | 2.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| BFC Daugavpils | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy