Smiltene vs Mārupe: result 1-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tepera stadions, Smiltene
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What was the result of Smiltene vs Mārupe?
Mārupe won 1-2 on April 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 32′R. RamsSmiltene
- 61′R. KorolcuksMārupe
- 77′G. StraussMārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smiltene have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Mārupe have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Skanste(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Riga FC II(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Riga FC II(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Augšdaugava(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Tukums II(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Super Nova(away) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Riga FC II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Smiltene win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mārupe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | Mārupe 0-0 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Mārupe 3-1 Smiltene | Cup |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Smiltene 0-1 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Mārupe 3-3 Smiltene | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Smiltene score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mārupe score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smiltene | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Mārupe | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smiltene sit 13th in 1. Liga (4 points from 10 matches) and Mārupe sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy