Sodupe vs Aretxabaleta: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, Sodupe
The Footlab AI model makes Sodupe the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Aretxabaleta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sodupe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sodupe vs Aretxabaleta?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Sodupe (1,690) and Aretxabaleta (1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sodupe vs Aretxabaleta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sodupe
4-3-3- EEkaitz Azkuenaga Astorkiza
- MMarkel Vegas Olano
- AAnder Garmendia Alonso
- EErlantz Rementería
- IIker Mota Arana
- GGorka Olazabal Román
- AAnder Egileor
- RRubén Salado Góngora
- JJoseba Orbegozo
- DDaniel Jiménez
- MMikel Fuente
Aretxabaleta
Not enough data to predict the Aretxabaleta lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 08:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sodupe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aretxabaleta have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Touring(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sodupe score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aretxabaleta score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodupe | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Aretxabaleta | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sodupe sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 8 matches) and Aretxabaleta sit 5th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Sodupe vs Aretxabaleta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sodupe vs Aretxabaleta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sodupe the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Aretxabaleta.
- Where and when is Sodupe vs Aretxabaleta played?
- Sodupe vs Aretxabaleta is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Lorenzo Hurtado de Saratxo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.