Eibar III vs Lagun Onak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Lagun Onak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar III wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar III vs Lagun Onak?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Eibar III (1,702) and Lagun Onak (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar III vs Lagun Onak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar III
Not enough data to predict the Eibar III lineup.
Lagun Onak
Not enough data to predict the Lagun Onak lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar III have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lagun Onak have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santurtzi(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Ignacio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Eibar III win, 1 draw, 2 Lagun Onak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Lagun Onak 1-1 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Eibar III 0-1 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Eibar III 4-1 Lagun Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Lagun Onak 1-0 Eibar III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Lagun Onak vs Eibar III on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar III score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lagun Onak score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar III | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Lagun Onak | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar III sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (8 points from 7 matches) and Lagun Onak sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Eibar III vs Lagun Onak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar III vs Lagun Onak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar III the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Lagun Onak.
- Where and when is Eibar III vs Lagun Onak played?
- Eibar III vs Lagun Onak is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.