Solihull Moors vs Tamworth: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ARMCO Arena, Solihull, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Tamworth the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Solihull Moors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Solihull Moors vs Tamworth?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Solihull Moors (1,709) and Tamworth (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Solihull Moors have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tamworth have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 1-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-5 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 5-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 3-3 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Solihull Moors win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tamworth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Tamworth 1-0 Solihull Moors | National League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Solihull Moors 7-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Tamworth 1-2 Solihull Moors | National League |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Solihull Moors 2-0 Tamworth | National League |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Tamworth 4-1 Solihull Moors | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tamworth vs Solihull Moors on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Solihull Moors score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tamworth score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solihull Moors | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tamworth | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Solihull Moors sit 24th in National League (0 points from 3 matches) and Tamworth sit 22nd (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Solihull Moors vs Tamworth?
- The Footlab model makes Tamworth the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Solihull Moors.
- Where and when is Solihull Moors vs Tamworth played?
- Solihull Moors vs Tamworth is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ARMCO Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.