Nosaby vs Staffanstorp United: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 23Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nya Vallbjörka, Kristianstad
The Footlab model makes Nosaby the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Staffanstorp United. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nosaby vs Staffanstorp United?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Nosaby (1,442) and Staffanstorp United (1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nosaby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Staffanstorp United have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torns(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linero(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Karlskrona(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berga(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lilla Torg(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Torns(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nosaby win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Staffanstorp United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Staffanstorp United 5-0 Nosaby | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Staffanstorp United vs Nosaby on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nosaby score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Staffanstorp United score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nosaby | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
| Staffanstorp United | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nosaby sit 6th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (20 points from 13 matches) and Staffanstorp United sit 11th (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nosaby | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Nosaby | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 20 |
| 9 | Staffanstorp United | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 32 | 19 |
| 11 | Staffanstorp United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nosaby vs Staffanstorp United?
- The Footlab model makes Nosaby the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Staffanstorp United.
- Where and when is Nosaby vs Staffanstorp United played?
- Nosaby vs Staffanstorp United is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nya Vallbjörka, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.