Træff vs Arendal: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Reknesbanen, Molde
The Footlab model makes Træff the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Arendal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Træff vs Arendal?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Træff (1,756) and Arendal (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Træff have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Arendal have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rollon(away) | 7-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sotra(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | jerv(home) | 3-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kvik Halden(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Froland(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vidar(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pors Grenland(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sotra(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Træff win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Arendal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Arendal 3-1 Træff | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Træff 1-1 Arendal | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Arendal 1-0 Træff | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Arendal 4-0 Træff | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Træff 2-2 Arendal | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Træff score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arendal score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Træff | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Arendal | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Træff sit 8th in 2. Division - Group 1 (25 points from 16 matches) and Arendal sit 9th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Træff | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 25 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Træff vs Arendal?
- The Footlab model makes Træff the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Arendal.
- Where and when is Træff vs Arendal played?
- Træff vs Arendal is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Reknesbanen, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.