South Shields vs Scarborough Athletic: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 21Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)1st Cloud Arena, South Shields, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Scarborough Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Shields vs Scarborough Athletic?
South Shields starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Shields have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 South Shields win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Scarborough Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic 0-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic 2-2 South Shields | National League - North |
| Oct 21, 2025 | South Shields 4-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Feb 1, 2025 | South Shields 1-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Scarborough Athletic 1-2 South Shields | National League - North |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Scarborough Athletic 1-1 South Shields | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Shields | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Shields sit 5th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Scarborough Athletic sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Shields vs Scarborough Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Scarborough Athletic.
- Where and when is South Shields vs Scarborough Athletic played?
- South Shields vs Scarborough Athletic is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at 1st Cloud Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.