Where and when is Chorley vs South Shields played?

Chorley vs South Shields is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chorley vs South Shields: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire

Chorley

South Shields

The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chorley vs South Shields?

South Shields starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,780).

Chorley win24 %

Draw25 %

South Shields win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; South Shields have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

South Shields
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Merthyr Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Morecambe(away)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Chorley(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(away)	1-0	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Gateshead(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chorley win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 South Shields win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields 2-1 Chorley	National League - North
Mar 10, 2026	Chorley 1-1 South Shields	National League - North
Oct 4, 2025	South Shields 2-0 Chorley	National League - North
Sep 27, 2025	South Shields 4-1 Chorley	FA Cup
Feb 15, 2025	Chorley 2-1 South Shields	National League - North
Sep 21, 2024	South Shields 3-3 Chorley	National League - North

Last archived meeting: South Shields vs Chorley on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
South Shields	1.7	0.9	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	South Shields	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chorley vs South Shields?: The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Chorley.
Where and when is Chorley vs South Shields played?: Chorley vs South Shields is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.