Match

Chorley vs South Shields: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire

ChorleySouth Shields

The Footlab AI model makes South Shields the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If South Shields wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,532 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chorley vs South Shields?

South Shields starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,993 vs 1,868).

34%25%41%
Chorley winDrawSouth Shields win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chorley vs South Shields

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chorley

Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.

South Shields

4-3-3
  1. 21C. Kelly
  2. 9P. Blackett
  3. 4Cain Sykes
  1. 19C. Scott
  2. 10W. Jenkins
  3. 30D. Carson
  1. 2R. Tinkler
  2. 5D. Morse
  3. 3Oliver Bainbridge
  4. 29Daniel Dodds
  1. 1J. Sheik

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; South Shields have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chorley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026AFC Telford United(home)2-1National League - North
Oct 3, 2026Barton Town Old Boys(away)4-1FA Cup
Sep 26, 2026Spalding United(home)2-1National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Rylands(away)1-0FA Cup
Sep 12, 2026King's Lynn Town(away)0-2National League - North
South Shields
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Macclesfield(away)3-4National League - North
Oct 3, 2026Buxton(away)2-0FA Cup
Sep 29, 2026Brackley Town(away)2-3National League - North
Sep 26, 2026Buxton(home)4-0National League - North
Sep 19, 2026Witton Albion(home)7-0FA Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chorley win, 2 draws, 3 South Shields wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026South Shields 2-1 ChorleyNational League - North
Mar 10, 2026Chorley 1-1 South ShieldsNational League - North
Oct 4, 2025South Shields 2-0 ChorleyNational League - North
Sep 27, 2025South Shields 4-1 ChorleyFA Cup
Feb 15, 2025Chorley 2-1 South ShieldsNational League - North
Sep 21, 2024South Shields 3-3 ChorleyNational League - North

Last archived meeting: South Shields vs Chorley on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chorley score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chorley1.61.6210/1511/15
South Shields2.11.368/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (17 points from 11 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (20 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5South Shields11623181720
9Chorley11524181817

A question about Chorley vs South Shields?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chorley vs South Shields?
The Footlab AI model makes South Shields the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Chorley.
Where and when is Chorley vs South Shields played?
Chorley vs South Shields is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chorley and South Shields

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