Southampton U21 vs Valencia U21: prediction and stats
Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Valencia U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Southampton U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton U21 vs Valencia U21?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Southampton U21 (1,808) and Valencia U21 (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton U21 have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Valencia U21 have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | West Ham United U21(away) | 0-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 4-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb U21(away) | 3-4 | Premier League International Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | West Bromwich Albion U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Crystal Palace U21(away) | 1-0 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Leicester City U21(away) | 3-1 | Premier League International Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Southampton U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Valencia U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | Southampton U21 0-2 Valencia U21 | Premier League International Cup |
Last archived meeting: Southampton U21 vs Valencia U21 on Nov 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valencia U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton U21 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Valencia U21 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton U21 vs Valencia U21?
- The Footlab model makes Valencia U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Southampton U21.
- Where and when is Southampton U21 vs Valencia U21 played?
- Southampton U21 vs Valencia U21 is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Staplewood Training Ground, in the Premier League International Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 19, 2026Sunderland U211-1Jong PSV U21
- Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21vsBorussia Dortmund II
- Sep 2, 2026Aston Villa U21vsBrondby U21
- Sep 2, 2026Crystal Palace U21vsParis Saint-Germain U21
- Sep 2, 2026Everton U21vsMilan II
- Sep 15, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21vsDinamo Zagreb U21
- Sep 15, 2026Aston Villa U21vsReal Sociedad II
- Sep 16, 2026Stoke City U21vsBorussia M'gladbach II