Southampton vs Aston Villa: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 22, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Aston Villa?
Southampton won 4-1 on September 22, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 36′D. BentAston Villa
- 58′Rickie LambertSouthampton
- 63′N. ClyneSouthampton
- 72′C. ClarkSouthampton (o.g.)
- 90′Rickie LambertSouthampton (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Aston Villa have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Arsenal(away) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Manchester United(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Stevenage(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Wigan(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Manchester City(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Swansea(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Tranmere(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Everton(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2012 | West Ham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Aston Villa | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy