Southampton vs QPR: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (2,114 vs 1,952).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southampton vs QPR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 27K. Matsuki
- 14J. Bree
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 3R. Manning
- 15N. Wood-Gordon
- 1Daniel Peretz
QPR
4-4-2- 16R. Burrell
- 15A. Lloyd
- 24N. Madsen
- 17K. Poku
- 20H. Vale
- 18G. Kamara
- 5R. Edwards
- 27A. Mbengue
- 3J. Dunne
- 19D. Cirkin
- 1P. Charles
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; QPR have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Southampton wins, 0 draws, 0 QPR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Southampton 5-0 QPR | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2025 | QPR 1-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | QPR 0-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Southampton 2-1 QPR | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2015 | QPR 0-1 Southampton | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Southampton 2-1 QPR | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| QPR | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 13th in Championship (10 points from 8 matches) and QPR sit 6th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Southampton vs QPR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton vs QPR?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for QPR.
- Where and when is Southampton vs QPR played?
- Southampton vs QPR is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.