Southampton vs Birmingham: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 6, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Southampton vs Birmingham?
Southampton won 3-1 on December 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′F. AzazSouthampton
- 24′A. ArmstrongSouthampton
- 54′D. GrayBirmingham
- 58′A. ArmstrongSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Birmingham have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Millwall(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Leicester(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Charlton(away) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2025 | QPR(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | Watford(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2025 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Southampton win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | Birmingham 3-4 Southampton | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Southampton 3-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Feb 4, 2012 | Birmingham 0-0 Southampton | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Southampton 4-1 Birmingham | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Birmingham vs Southampton on Mar 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 24th in Championship (-4 points from 1 matches) and Birmingham sit 15th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 24 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy