West Ham vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Southampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Ham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate West Ham (2,175) and Southampton (2,114).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Ham vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Ham
4-4-2- 9J. Piroe
- 11V. Castellanos
- 7A. Engels
- 14D. Mukasa
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 2K. Walker-Peters
- 5Morato
- 1M. Hermansen
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 27K. Matsuki
- 14J. Bree
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 3R. Manning
- 15N. Wood-Gordon
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Southampton have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Derby(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 West Ham wins, 2 draws, 1 Southampton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Southampton 1-4 West Ham | League Cup |
| Apr 19, 2025 | West Ham 1-1 Southampton | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Southampton 0-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | West Ham 1-0 Southampton | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Southampton 1-1 West Ham | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2022 | Southampton 3-1 West Ham | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs West Ham on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Southampton | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 2nd in Championship (15 points from 8 matches) and Southampton sit 13th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 10 |
A question about West Ham vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Southampton.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Southampton played?
- West Ham vs Southampton is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.