Spalding United vs Morecambe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Sir Halley Stewart Field, Spalding, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spalding United vs Morecambe?
Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spalding United vs Morecambe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spalding United
Not enough data to predict the Spalding United lineup.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spalding United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Morecambe have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Spalding United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spalding United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spalding United sit 9th in National League - North (17 points from 11 matches) and Morecambe sit 19th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Spalding United vs Morecambe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spalding United vs Morecambe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is Spalding United vs Morecambe played?
- Spalding United vs Morecambe is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027MacclesfieldvsKing's Lynn Town
- Apr 24, 2027ChestervsRadcliffe
- Apr 24, 2027SouthportvsOxford City
- Apr 24, 2027HerefordvsScarborough Athletic
- Apr 24, 2027Brackley TownvsDarlington 1883
- Apr 24, 2027Spennymoor TownvsBuxton
- Apr 24, 2027Worksop TownvsMerthyr Town
- Apr 24, 2027Bedford TownvsHebburn Town