Where and when is Spalding United vs Morecambe played?

Spalding United vs Morecambe is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Spalding United vs Morecambe: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 46Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Sir Halley Stewart Field, Spalding, Lincolnshire

Spalding United

Morecambe

The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spalding United vs Morecambe?

Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,692).

Spalding United win65 %

Draw20 %

Morecambe win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spalding United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Morecambe have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spalding United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chester(away)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Macclesfield(home)	0-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Oxford City(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Radcliffe(away)	2-0	National League - North
Jul 18, 2026	Scunthorpe(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

Morecambe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Radcliffe(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	South Shields(home)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Harborough Town(away)	0-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Spennymoor Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Barrow(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Spalding United score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Spalding United	1.7	1.4	4	8/15	7/15
Morecambe	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spalding United sit 13th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Morecambe sit 24th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Spalding United	4	1	1	2	2	2	4
24	Morecambe	4	0	1	3	2	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spalding United vs Morecambe?: The Footlab model makes Spalding United the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Morecambe.
Where and when is Spalding United vs Morecambe played?: Spalding United vs Morecambe is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.