Spain U17 vs China PR U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for China PR U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spain U17 vs China PR U17?
Spain U17 starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain U17 have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; China PR U17 have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Italy U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 31, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Estonia U17(away) | 4-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Ukraine U17(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Japan U17(home) | 2-3 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 19, 2026 | Australia U17(home) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 15, 2026 | Saudi Arabia U17(away) | 3-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | Qatar U17(home) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
| May 9, 2026 | Japan U17(home) | 1-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain U17 score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; China PR U17 score 3.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain U17 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| China PR U17 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spain U17 vs China PR U17?
- The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for China PR U17.
- Where and when is Spain U17 vs China PR U17 played?
- Spain U17 vs China PR U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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