Match

Spain U17 vs China PR U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 1Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Spain U17China PR U17

The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for China PR U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spain U17 vs China PR U17?

Spain U17 starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,615).

Spain U17 win59 %
Draw20 %
China PR U17 win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spain U17 have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; China PR U17 have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spain U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 4, 2026Italy U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship
May 31, 2026Croatia U17(home)2-3UEFA U17 Championship
May 28, 2026Belgium U17(away)1-0UEFA U17 Championship
May 25, 2026Estonia U17(away)4-1UEFA U17 Championship
Apr 23, 2026Ukraine U17(home)3-1Friendlies
China PR U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Japan U17(home)2-3AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 19, 2026Australia U17(home)2-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 15, 2026Saudi Arabia U17(away)3-1AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 12, 2026Qatar U17(home)2-0AFC U17 Asian Cup
May 9, 2026Japan U17(home)1-2AFC U17 Asian Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Spain U17 score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; China PR U17 score 3.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spain U172.50.787/159/15
China PR U173.90.986/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spain U17 vs China PR U17?
The Footlab model makes Spain U17 the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for China PR U17.
Where and when is Spain U17 vs China PR U17 played?
Spain U17 vs China PR U17 is played on November 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Spain U17 and China PR U17

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