Spain vs Portugal: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup8th FinalsKick-off on June 29, 2010 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
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What was the result of Spain vs Portugal?
Spain won 1-0 on June 29, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 63′David VillaSpain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Spain have 11 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Portugal have 3, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2010 | Chile(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2010 | Honduras(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2010 | Switzerland(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 28, 2009 | South Africa(home) | 3-2 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 24, 2009 | USA(home) | 0-2 | Confederations Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2010 | Brazil(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2010 | North Korea(home) | 7-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2010 | Ivory Coast(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2008 | Germany(home) | 2-3 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2008 | Switzerland(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Spain score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 14; Portugal score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 1.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/14 | 7/14 |
| Portugal | 2.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 2/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spain sit 3rd in World Cup (1 points from 1 matches) and Portugal sit 3rd (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spain | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Portugal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy