Czechia vs Spain: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League5Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Andrův stadion, Olomouc
The Footlab AI model makes Spain the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Czechia. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Czechia vs Spain?
Spain is a heavy favourite: 1,976 Elo points against 1,574, a 401-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Czechia vs Spain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Czechia
4-2-3-1- 10A. Hložek
- 13L. Ambros
- 8M. Sadílek
- 15P. Šulc
- 21A. Král
- 20O. Lingr
- 7J. Sláma
- 4R. Hranáč
- 6Š. Chaloupek
- 5V. Coufal
- 16L. Horníček
Known absences
D. JurásekOut · Thigh injury
Spain
4-2-3-1- 21Mikel Oyarzabal
- 19Lamine Yamal
- 15Álex Baena
- 16Rodri
- 10Dani Olmo
- 20Pedri
- 14Aymeric Laporte
- 22Marc Cucurella
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12Marc Pubill
- 23Unai Simón
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czechia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Spain have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | England(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spain(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | England(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico(home) | 0-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Croatia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Czechia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | England(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Czechia wins, 1 draw, 3 Spain wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spain 3-1 Czechia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Spain 2-0 Czechia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Czechia 2-2 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2016 | Spain 1-0 Czechia | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Czechia score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Spain | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Czechia sit 4th in UEFA Nations League (0 points from 4 matches) and Spain sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Czechia vs Spain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Czechia vs Spain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spain the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Czechia.
- Where and when is Czechia vs Spain played?
- Czechia vs Spain is played on November 12, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Andrův stadion, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.