Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pleven Stadium, Pleven
The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Spartak Pleven (1,605) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Pleven have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Spartak Pleven win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Spartak Pleven 2-5 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-1 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Spartak Pleven 1-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Pleven sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spartak Pleven | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pleven Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027BeroevsMarek
- Apr 24, 2027Ludogorets IIvsMontana
- Apr 24, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsNesebar
- Apr 24, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsRilski Sportist
- Apr 24, 2027Hebar 1918vsSportist Svoge
- Apr 24, 2027VihrenvsYantra 2019
- Apr 24, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsDobrudzha
- Apr 24, 2027FratriavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo