Match

Beroe vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

BeroeMarek

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Marek?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Beroe (1,657) and Marek (1,644).

Beroe win47 %
Draw28 %
Marek win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)3-0Second League
Aug 14, 2026Fratria(away)0-2Second League
Aug 10, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-1Second League
Jul 24, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-1Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beroe1.10.965/157/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 6th in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Beroe5302749
12Marek5203666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Marek.
Where and when is Beroe vs Marek played?
Beroe vs Marek is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Beroe and Marek

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