CSKA Sofia II vs Nesebar: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia II vs Nesebar?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate CSKA Sofia II (1,736) and Nesebar (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ludogorets II(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 7-0 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 CSKA Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nesebar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 2-0 Nesebar | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Nesebar 0-3 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Feb 26, 2017 | CSKA Sofia II 2-0 Nesebar | Second League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Nesebar 0-0 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia II vs Nesebar on Mar 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nesebar | 3.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia II sit 1st in Second League (11 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia II vs Nesebar?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nesebar.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia II vs Nesebar played?
- CSKA Sofia II vs Nesebar is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027BeroevsMarek
- Apr 24, 2027Ludogorets IIvsMontana
- Apr 24, 2027Spartak PlevenvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Apr 24, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsRilski Sportist
- Apr 24, 2027Hebar 1918vsSportist Svoge
- Apr 24, 2027VihrenvsYantra 2019
- Apr 24, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsDobrudzha
- Apr 24, 2027FratriavsEtar Veliko Tarnovo