Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,529) and Spartak Pleven (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Beroe(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Spartak Pleven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Spartak Pleven 2-5 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-1 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Spartak Pleven 1-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spartak Pleven | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Pleven the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Etar Veliko TarnovovsFratria
- Oct 10, 2026NesebarvsCSKA Sofia II
- Oct 10, 2026MontanavsLudogorets II
- Oct 10, 2026DobrudzhavsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Oct 10, 2026Yantra 2019vsVihren
- Oct 10, 2026MarekvsBeroe
- Oct 10, 2026Rilski SportistvsLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
- Oct 10, 2026Sportist SvogevsHebar 1918