Match

Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena

FratriaEtar Veliko Tarnovo

The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Fratria (1,727) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652).

Fratria win59 %
Draw22 %
Etar Veliko Tarnovo win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fratria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Vihren(away)2-2Second League
Aug 14, 2026Beroe(home)2-0Second League
Aug 9, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)2-0Second League
Aug 1, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-0Second League
Jul 25, 2026Marek(home)0-1Second League
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-2Second League
Aug 15, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Marek(home)1-0Second League
Aug 3, 2026Yantra 2019(home)2-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Nesebar(away)5-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fratria win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 FratriaSecond League
Aug 10, 2025Fratria 2-0 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League
Apr 27, 2025Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 FratriaSecond League
Oct 24, 2024Fratria 3-1 Etar Veliko TarnovoSecond League

Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria on Feb 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fratria1.80.968/158/15
Etar Veliko Tarnovo1.71.739/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Etar Veliko Tarnovo531110510
3Fratria53117310

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
Where and when is Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fratria and Etar Veliko Tarnovo

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