Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Fratria (1,727) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fratria win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Fratria 2-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 Fratria | Second League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Fratria 3-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Fratria vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027BeroevsMarek
- Apr 24, 2027Ludogorets IIvsMontana
- Apr 24, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsNesebar
- Apr 24, 2027Spartak PlevenvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Apr 24, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsRilski Sportist
- Apr 24, 2027Hebar 1918vsSportist Svoge
- Apr 24, 2027VihrenvsYantra 2019
- Apr 24, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsDobrudzha