Sporting Gijon vs Leganes: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Leganes?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Gijon has 1,978 points and Leganes 1,905.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Leganes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Leganes
5-3-2- 21Álvaro Morata
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 11Naim García
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 22Álex Sancris
- 13L. Zidane
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Leganes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting Gijon win, 3 draws, 2 Leganes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Leganes 0-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| May 18, 2024 | Leganes 2-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Leganes 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 2-2 Leganes | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Leganes on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leganes score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Leganes | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 6th in Segunda División (16 points from 9 matches) and Leganes sit 16th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 16 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Leganes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Leganes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Leganes played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Leganes is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.