Burgos vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Girona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Girona?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Burgos (2,008) and Girona (2,041).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 9Álex Forés
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 20José Gragera
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Girona
4-4-2- 9Abel Ruiz
- 19V. Vanat
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 22Y. Asprilla
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 4Javier Boñar
- 5David López
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Burgos wins, 1 draw, 1 Girona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2022 | Burgos 0-0 Girona | Segunda División |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Girona 3-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Girona | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 8th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Girona sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Burgos vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Girona.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Girona played?
- Burgos vs Girona is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.