Leganes vs Celta de Vigo II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Celta de Vigo II?
On Elo ratings, Leganes has 1,890 points and Celta de Vigo II 1,974.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Celta de Vigo II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
4-2-3-1- 9Álex Millán
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 22Álex Sancris
- 14Dani Rodríguez
- 8Y. Kechta
- 24A. Diawara
- 3Javi Montero
- 4Rubén Pulido
- 7Rubén Peña
- 15Enric Franquesa
- 1Raúl Fernández
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3- 10O. Marcos
- 9A. Marin
- 15A. Kibet
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 2P. Gavian
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 29M. Sobral
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 6P. Meixus
- 1Coke Carrillo
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Celta de Vigo II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-4 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo II score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 17th in Segunda División (12 points from 12 matches) and Celta de Vigo II sit 16th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 12 |
A question about Leganes vs Celta de Vigo II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Celta de Vigo II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Celta de Vigo II played?
- Leganes vs Celta de Vigo II is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.