Match

Almeria vs Valladolid: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería

AlmeriaValladolid

The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,471 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almeria vs Valladolid?

Almeria starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,094 vs 1,916).

62%21%17%
Almeria winDrawValladolid win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Almeria vs Valladolid

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Almeria

4-2-3-1
  1. 24Miguel de la Fuente
  1. 14Javi Muñoz
  2. 17B. Cipenga
  3. 11Sergio Arribas
  4. 29S. Džodić
  5. 33Quim Junyent
  1. 18F. Bonini
  2. 2Marcos Luna
  3. 3Álex Muñoz
  4. 5Jorge Pulido
  1. 1Andrés Fernández

Valladolid

4-1-3-2
  1. 19Adrian Arnuncio
  2. 30Víctor Fernández
  1. 21J. Ponceau
  2. 24S. Jurić
  3. 8T. Ojeda
  4. 23T. Abed
  1. 27Iván Garriel
  2. 15Pablo Tomeo
  3. 14Iván Alejo
  4. 4David Torres
  1. 1Álvaro Aceves

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Valladolid have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almeria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Eibar(away)1-1Segunda División
Oct 27, 2026Castellonense(away)2-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Oviedo(home)2-2Segunda División
Oct 17, 2026Real Sociedad II(away)4-2Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Leganes(home)3-0Segunda División
Valladolid
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Leganes(home)4-3Segunda División
Oct 29, 2026Covadonga(away)1-0Copa del Rey
Oct 23, 2026Granada CF(away)1-2Segunda División
Oct 18, 2026Eldense(home)2-3Segunda División
Oct 12, 2026Albacete(home)5-0Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almeria wins, 2 draws, 2 Valladolid wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Almeria 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División
Sep 13, 2025Valladolid 3-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
May 28, 2023Almeria 0-0 ValladolidLa Liga
Sep 5, 2022Valladolid 1-0 AlmeriaLa Liga
Apr 16, 2022Valladolid 2-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
Nov 20, 2021Almeria 3-1 ValladolidSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Valladolid on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almeria score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almeria2.10.776/158/15
Valladolid1.91.448/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almeria sit 2nd in Segunda División (26 points from 12 matches) and Valladolid sit 13th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Almeria12822231026
13Valladolid12435201915

A question about Almeria vs Valladolid?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Valladolid?
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Valladolid.
Where and when is Almeria vs Valladolid played?
Almeria vs Valladolid is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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