Almeria vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Valladolid?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (2,107 vs 1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 2Marcos Luna
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 1Andrés Fernández
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 21J. Ponceau
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 06:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Valladolid have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almeria wins, 2 draws, 2 Valladolid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Almeria 1-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Valladolid 3-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| May 28, 2023 | Almeria 0-0 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Valladolid 1-0 Almeria | La Liga |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Valladolid 2-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Almeria 3-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Valladolid on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 2nd in Segunda División (25 points from 11 matches) and Valladolid sit 15th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Almeria vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Valladolid played?
- Almeria vs Valladolid is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.