Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Magdeburg

The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,960) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982).

FC St. Pauli win41 %

Draw26 %

1. FC Magdeburg win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Magdeburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bahlinger SC(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(home)	1-6	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	West Ham(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Schöningen(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC St. Pauli win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 10, 2024	1. FC Magdeburg 1-0 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Aug 27, 2023	FC St. Pauli 0-0 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga
Feb 18, 2023	1. FC Magdeburg 1-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Aug 14, 2022	FC St. Pauli 3-0 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2021	1. FC Magdeburg 2-3 FC St. Pauli	DFB Pokal
Dec 22, 2018	FC St. Pauli 4-1 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli on Feb 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15
1. FC Magdeburg	2.3	1.2	5	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	1. FC Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	4	6	3
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Magdeburg?: The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.