Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC played?

VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Hertha BSC

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,034) and Hertha BSC (2,044).

VfL Wolfsburg win42 %

Draw26 %

Hertha BSC win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hertha BSC have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Verl(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Hertha BSC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	4-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	VfL Bochum(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	1. FC Köln(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Mamelodi Sundowns(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hertha BSC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 8, 2025	VfL Wolfsburg 0-2 Hertha BSC	Friendlies Clubs
May 27, 2023	VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Hertha BSC	Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2023	Hertha BSC 0-5 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2022	VfL Wolfsburg 0-0 Hertha BSC	Bundesliga
Aug 21, 2021	Hertha BSC 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Feb 27, 2021	VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Hertha BSC	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC on Oct 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15
Hertha BSC	2.8	1.3	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Hertha BSC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC?: The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC played?: VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.