SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt
The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate SV Darmstadt 98 (2,005) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Darmstadt 98 have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98 2-0 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg 1-0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2022 | SV Darmstadt 98 2-0 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Jan 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
- The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
- Where and when is SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?
- SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on April 3, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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