Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Hannover
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Hannover 96 starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 9-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hannover 96 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Hannover 96 1-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-2 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 11, 2025 | Hannover 96 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Hannover 96 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-3 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hannover 96 sit 17th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
- The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
- Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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