Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez played?

Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo

Villanueva Pardillo

Real Aranjuez

The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez?

Villanueva Pardillo starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,540).

Villanueva Pardillo win46 %

Draw26 %

Real Aranjuez win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villanueva Pardillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Carabanchel(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Móstoles(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	SS Reyes II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Racing Madrid(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Villanueva Pardillo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Aranjuez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 13, 2021	Real Aranjuez 0-1 Villanueva Pardillo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 2, 2021	Villanueva Pardillo 1-0 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Villanueva Pardillo on Jun 13, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Villanueva Pardillo	1.3	1.0	5	7/15	6/15
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Villanueva Pardillo	34	13	5	16	39	45	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez?: The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez played?: Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.