Match

Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo

Villanueva PardilloReal Aranjuez

The Footlab AI model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villanueva Pardillo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez?

Villanueva Pardillo starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,696 vs 1,575).

41%23%36%
Villanueva Pardillo winDrawReal Aranjuez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Villanueva Pardillo

4-3-3
  1. PPablo Sánchez Flores Casanova
  2. CChuky
  3. KKoh Ji-Soung
  1. RRulo Alonso
  2. JJorge Sánchez
  3. AAndrés Alcaide Jimenez
  1. AAnder Díaz
  2. JJosele
  3. CCarlos Albares
  4. JJorge Martínez
  1. JJosé Damián Climent Requena

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villanueva Pardillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Unión Adarve(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Torrejón(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Colonia Moscardó(away)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Villanueva Pardillo wins, 0 draws, 0 Real Aranjuez wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2021Real Aranjuez 0-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 2, 2021Villanueva Pardillo 1-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Villanueva Pardillo on Jun 13, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villanueva Pardillo1.31.737/158/15
Real Aranjuez1.12.819/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villanueva Pardillo sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (4 points from 7 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Real Aranjuez713312166
17Villanueva Pardillo71156184

A question about Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab AI model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez played?
Villanueva Pardillo vs Real Aranjuez is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Villanueva Pardillo and Real Aranjuez

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