Match

SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes

SS ReyesNavalcarnero

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero?

SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,859).

SS Reyes win58 %
Draw25 %
Navalcarnero win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Navalcarnero have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SS Reyes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026UD Logroñés(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Alcoyano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Alcoyano(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Colonia Moscardó(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Conquense(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026CD Coria(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SS Reyes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Navalcarnero win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Navalcarnero 0-2 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 21, 2025SS Reyes 3-1 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
May 4, 2025SS Reyes 2-0 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 22, 2024Navalcarnero 2-0 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 31, 2024Navalcarnero 1-1 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 19, 2023SS Reyes 0-0 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs SS Reyes on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SS Reyes1.30.957/156/15
Navalcarnero1.31.537/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SS Reyes sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (70 points from 34 matches) and Navalcarnero sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SS Reyes342176512770
10Navalcarnero34111013404243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero?
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Navalcarnero.
Where and when is SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero played?
SS Reyes vs Navalcarnero is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SS Reyes and Navalcarnero

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