Match

RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares

RSD AlcaláReal Ávila

The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1. If RSD Alcalá wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates RSD Alcalá (1,879) and Real Ávila (1,879).

38%28%34%
RSD Alcalá winDrawReal Ávila win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

Real Ávila

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Lorenzo
  2. 12Carlos Pérez
  1. 30M. Sarr
  2. 7Runy
  3. 16M. Ruiz
  4. 8Filipe Sissé
  1. 23G. L. Urbina
  2. 5C. Pascual
  3. 22F. Garrido Diaz
  4. 3Michael Ngaah
  1. 1O. Lopez

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RSD Alcalá have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Ávila have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026SS Reyes(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Real Ávila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Atlético Paso(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Numancia(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Getafe II(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RSD Alcalá1.51.168/1510/15
Real Ávila1.11.839/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RSD Alcalá sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 8 matches) and Real Ávila sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14RSD Alcalá822411128
15Real Ávila82157147

A question about RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila?
The Footlab AI model makes RSD Alcalá the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila played?
RSD Alcalá vs Real Ávila is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: RSD Alcalá and Real Ávila

Ready to know everything about football?