St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe: result 2-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 3Kick-off on October 13, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Darren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
Full time
What was the result of St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
St. Lucia won 2-1 on October 13, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 29′J. RoussillonGuadeloupe
- 45′C. ElvaSt. Lucia
- 58′J. MacFarlaneSt. Lucia
Official lineup for St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
St. Lucia
4-2-3-1- 7C. Elva
- 11R. Stanislas
- 21G. President
- 9J. MacFarlane
- 12L. Joseph
- 4J. Donacien
- 2K. Frederick
- 3T. Thomas
- 6M. Doxilly
- 18C. Alexander
- 1V. Barclett
Guadeloupe
4-2-3-1- 9M. Coco
- 17J. Leborgne
- 8A. Plumain
- 12Christian Senneville
- 3A. Gravillon
- 11Alexandre Arenate
- 4J. Roussillon
- 13C. Avinel
- 19Meddy Lina
- 2M. Alphonse
- 23D. Rouyard
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Lucia have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Guadeloupe have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | St. Kitts and Nevis(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Sint Maarten(away) | 5-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Martinique(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Dominica(home) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Anguilla(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Sint Maarten(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2023 | St. Kitts and Nevis(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Guatemala(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Cuba(away) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 27, 2023 | Canada(away) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
St. Lucia score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guadeloupe score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guadeloupe | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy