Barbados vs Guadeloupe: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Bethlehem Soccer Complex, Christiansted
The Footlab AI model makes Guadeloupe the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Barbados. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guadeloupe wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Guadeloupe starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,489 vs 1,367).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barbados vs Guadeloupe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barbados
Not enough data to predict the Barbados lineup.
Guadeloupe
4-2-3-1- 8A. Plumain
- 6A. Baron
- 7N. Cadiou
- 10M. Phaëton
- 18J. Leborgne
- 14K. Bevis
- 5N. Saintini
- 26Y. Maçon
- 4J. Roussillon
- 15D. Cavaré
- 23D. Rouyard
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barbados have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Guadeloupe have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bermuda(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bermuda(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Guadeloupe(away) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | St. Lucia(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | St. Lucia(home) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | St. Lucia(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Barbados(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bermuda(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Guatemala(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Barbados wins, 1 draw, 2 Guadeloupe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Guadeloupe 2-2 Barbados | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Guadeloupe 2-1 Barbados | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Barbados 0-1 Guadeloupe | CONCACAF Nations League |
Last archived meeting: Guadeloupe vs Barbados on Sep 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barbados score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guadeloupe score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbados | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Guadeloupe | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guadeloupe the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Barbados.
- Where and when is Barbados vs Guadeloupe played?
- Barbados vs Guadeloupe is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Bethlehem Soccer Complex, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.