ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundee Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate ST Mirren (1,804) and Dundee Utd (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 30F. Taylor
- 48P. Nsio
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 47C. Ramsay
- 1J. Chapman
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 21J. Randall
- 93I. Metsoko
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 14Zidane Iqbal
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ST Mirren have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Dundee Utd have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ST Mirren wins, 1 draw, 3 Dundee Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-3 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| May 17, 2026 | ST Mirren 1-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Dundee Utd 2-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | ST Mirren 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Dundee Utd 3-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| May 10, 2025 | Dundee Utd 0-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundee Utd | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ST Mirren sit 7th in Premiership (10 points from 8 matches) and Dundee Utd sit 6th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
A question about ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd played?
- ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The SMISA Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.