Dundee vs Motherwell: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, Dundee
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Motherwell. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundee wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee vs Motherwell?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Dundee (1,822) and Motherwell (1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundee vs Motherwell
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundee
4-4-2- 21B. Fink
- 19J. Westley
- 48E. Hamilton
- 14A. Forrest
- 28C. Jones
- 27J. Bevan
- 4R. Astley
- 5O. Bevan
- 7D. Wright
- 12I. Samuels
- 1O. Goodman
Motherwell
4-2-3-1- 47S. Palmer-Houlden
- 71J. Hodge
- 8L. Fadinger
- 11A. Lowry
- 18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 77W. Vogt
- 45M. Emmanuel
- 5M. Moormann
- 7T. Sparrow
- 3J. Girdwood-Reich
- 1A. Paulsen
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Motherwell have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Falkirk(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 0-4 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 3-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dundee wins, 1 draw, 3 Motherwell wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee 2-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Dundee 2-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Motherwell 1-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dundee 1-1 Motherwell | Premiership |
| May 3, 2025 | Dundee 1-2 Motherwell | Premiership |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Motherwell 2-1 Dundee | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Motherwell score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Motherwell | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee sit 4th in Premiership (13 points from 8 matches) and Motherwell sit 9th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Dundee vs Motherwell?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee vs Motherwell?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Motherwell.
- Where and when is Dundee vs Motherwell played?
- Dundee vs Motherwell is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.