St. Truiden vs Saburtalo: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 1Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Saburtalo. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Saburtalo?
St. Truiden starts as the favourite with a 296-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St. Truiden vs Saburtalo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 14R. Merlen
- 71R. Araki
- 38K. Matsuzawa
- 26V. Musliu
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 3T. Hata
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 16L. Kokubo
Saburtalo
4-3-3- 10Z. Natchkebia
- 9A. Dzagania
- 17S. Ende
- 19N. Sikharulashvili
- 8B. Kardava
- 18Lucas Brune
- 5J. Jinjolava
- 40G. Kobuladze
- 33J. Tiboue
- 25A. Amisulashvili
- 31G. Makaridze
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Saburtalo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dila(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Saburtalo score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Saburtalo | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about St. Truiden vs Saburtalo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs Saburtalo?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Saburtalo.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs Saburtalo played?
- St. Truiden vs Saburtalo is played on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.