Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade Hédi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Tunisien the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for ES Zarzis. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,822 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Stade Tunisien (1,860) and ES Zarzis (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stade Tunisien
4-2-3-1- 7W. Ouerghemmi
- 34Mame Thioune
- 12Y. Oumarou
- 6P. Diop
- 21Yusuf Touré
- 14Salifou Tapsoba
- 3A. Saihi
- 24R. Derbali
- 25S. Sghaier
- 19Fedi Abdi
- 22N. Farhati
ES Zarzis
4-2-1-3- 9K. Sowe
- 7O. Hamdi
- 10H. Jertila
- 17D. Nyengue
- 26Y. El Kassah
- 20M. Smaali
- 29Pape Toure
- 25J. Belkilani
- 30Sadok Touj
- 35Hazem Mounadi
- 22S. Charfi
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 03:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Tunisien have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; ES Zarzis have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Réal Bamako(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Réal Bamako(home) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stade Tunisien wins, 3 draws, 1 ES Zarzis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis 0-0 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Stade Tunisien 3-0 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Stade Tunisien 1-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | ES Zarzis 1-1 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | ES Zarzis 0-3 Stade Tunisien | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Stade Tunisien 0-1 ES Zarzis | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: ES Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Tunisien score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; ES Zarzis score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Tunisien | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| ES Zarzis | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Tunisien sit 10th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and ES Zarzis sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Stade Tunisien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Tunisien the favourite at 50%, against 31% for a draw and 19% for ES Zarzis.
- Where and when is Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis played?
- Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis is played on October 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Hédi-Enneifer, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.