Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Boujemâa Lekmiti, Béja
The Footlab model makes ES Sahel the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Olympique Béja. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel?
ES Sahel starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympique Béja have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ES Sahel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Olympique Béja win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 ES Sahel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Olympique Béja 3-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | ES Sahel 1-2 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Olympique Béja 0-2 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | ES Sahel 0-1 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | ES Sahel 0-0 Olympique Béja | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Olympique Béja 2-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympique Béja score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympique Béja | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympique Béja sit 14th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and ES Sahel sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | ES Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Olympique Béja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel?
- The Footlab model makes ES Sahel the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Olympique Béja.
- Where and when is Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel played?
- Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Boujemâa Lekmiti, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.