US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
The Footlab AI model makes US Monastirienne the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
On Elo ratings, US Monastirienne has 1,866 points and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1,814.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
US Monastirienne
4-2-3-1- 10Y. Amri
- 20S. Barhoumi
- 23C. El Djebali
- 6O. Diane
- 33B. Tsirava
- 5Miras Ben Hassan
- 7R. Bouchniba
- 2M. Ghorbel
- 13R. Azzouz
- 17A. Benga
- 24A. Slimane
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
4-2-3-1- 9M. Omri
- 22M. Laajili
- 7H. Ben Ameur
- 25F. Ajroudi
- 10L. Bouraoui
- 14H. Jihinaoui
- 2A. Ba
- 5B. I. Bationo
- 34H. Rebaii
- 21A. Wassim
- 44A. Chouaya
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Monastirienne have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
US Monastirienne score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Monastirienne | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Monastirienne sit 5th in Ligue 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
A question about US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
- The Footlab AI model makes US Monastirienne the favourite at 53%, against 30% for a draw and 17% for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
- Where and when is US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer played?
- US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.