Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?

Stal Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg

Stal Brzeg

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,629).

Stal Brzeg win45 %

Draw26 %

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Brzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rakow II(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Barycz Sułów(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Carina Gubin(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	ROW Rybnik(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Stal Brzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2025	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-0 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 22, 2024	Stal Brzeg 0-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	III Liga - Group 3
May 28, 2022	Stal Brzeg 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 23, 2021	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-1 Stal Brzeg	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stal Brzeg on Apr 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Brzeg	1.5	1.3	4	7/15	6/15
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1.7	1.4	4	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Stal Brzeg	5	2	2	1	12	6	8
8	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	5	2	2	1	6	3	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?: The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?: Stal Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.