Sparta Katowice vs Kluczbork: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Kluczbork. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Kluczbork?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Sparta Katowice (1,831) and Kluczbork (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Kluczbork have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sparta Katowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kluczbork win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kluczbork 3-1 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sparta Katowice 1-0 Kluczbork | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczbork vs Sparta Katowice on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczbork score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kluczbork | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kluczbork sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 | Kluczbork | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Kluczbork?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Kluczbork.
- Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Kluczbork played?
- Sparta Katowice vs Kluczbork is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsSłowianin
- Sep 19, 2026Stal BrzegvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Sep 19, 2026Stilon GorzówvsROW Rybnik
- Sep 19, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsCarina Gubin
- Sep 19, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Sep 19, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsMiedź Legnica II
- Sep 19, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsWarta Gorzów
- Sep 19, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsBarycz Sułów