Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin played?

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zagłębie Lubin II

Carina Gubin

The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Carina Gubin. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Carina Gubin (1,717).

Zagłębie Lubin II win55 %

Draw21 %

Carina Gubin win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Carina Gubin have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zagłębie Lubin II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026	Rakow II(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Polonia Nysa(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Katowice(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3

Carina Gubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Carina Gubin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 12, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II 1-4 Carina Gubin	III Liga - Group 3
Jan 17, 2026	Zagłębie Lubin II 4-1 Carina Gubin	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 24, 2025	Carina Gubin 1-0 Zagłębie Lubin II	III Liga - Group 3
Feb 12, 2025	Zagłębie Lubin II 2-2 Carina Gubin	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 14, 2024	Zagłębie Lubin II 2-0 Carina Gubin	Friendlies Clubs
May 21, 2022	Carina Gubin 0-2 Zagłębie Lubin II	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin on May 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Carina Gubin score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zagłębie Lubin II	1.7	2.0	2	10/15	13/15
Carina Gubin	1.4	1.7	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Carina Gubin sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	5	3	2	0	11	7	11
15	Carina Gubin	5	1	1	3	4	12	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?: The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Carina Gubin.
Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin played?: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.